Friday, 7 November 2014

New Delhi woos island states, but China looms large in Indian Ocean

INS Tarmugli (now SCG Topaz) gifted to Seychelles by India in 2005, will be joined by a sister ship today, gifted by the naval chief in Port Victoria

By Ajai Shukla
Business Standard, 7th Nov 14

Navy chief Admiral RK Dhowan arrived in Seychelles on Thursday, where he will gift an India-built fast attack craft (FAC) to the island country. Another FAC gifted in 2005 continues to serve the Seychelles coast guard.

Meanwhile three frontline naval warships, on a two-month deployment in the southern Indian Ocean, arrived in the Seychelles capital, Port Victoria on Thursday, to underline New Delhi’s close relations with a crucial maritime partner.

Building relations in the Indian Ocean, New Delhi has also gifted naval vessels to Mauritius, the Maldives and Sri Lanka. The Sri Lanka Navy flagship, called SLNS Sayura, is an offshore patrol vessel (OPV) provided by India. Goa Shipyards is currently building two more OPVs for the Sri Lanka Navy.

Yet this may no longer be enough to discourage friendly countries from welcoming China into the Indian Ocean. On September 15, two days before Chinese president Xi Jinping began his state visit to India, a conventional submarine from the People’s Liberation Army (Navy), or PLA(N), quietly docked at Colombo in Sri Lanka.

China’s ministry of defence later announced, somewhat cryptically, that this was the first time a Chinese submarine had “openly visited a nation in the Indian Ocean.”

This precedent has been quickly followed up. On October 31, Sri Lanka announced that another PLA(N) conventional submarine, Changzheng 2, is on a five-day visit to Colombo, accompanied by a vehicle cargo vessel, Chang Xing Dao.

The Indian Navy accepts that the PLA(N)’s growing presence is inevitable. Since 2008, eighteen Chinese naval task forces --- of increasing capability --- have operated in the Indian Ocean, supporting the international effort against piracy.

Anti-piracy provided Chinese warships a legitimate reason to spend extended periods in the Indian Ocean, strengthening relationships with littoral states.

“The PLA(N) has exploited the anti-piracy effort to consolidate its presence in the region. Each task force consists of three major warships; while one is on station, another is on its way back and a third is en route. These flotillas make port visits to show the Chinese flag,” says a serving Indian admiral.

Yet there is concern in New Delhi that PLA(N) submarines are now paying port visits --- allegedly here for anti-piracy patrols. China’s defence ministry has claimed that the submarine that docked at Colombo “was on an escort mission to the Gulf of Aden and Somalia”.

Indian navy planners scoff at the notion that fighting pirates requires a submarine escort.

New Delhi is as concerned at Colombo opening its doors to China, despite official and unofficial agreements with New Delhi on protecting India’s sphere of influence.

In an exchange of letters in end-July 1987, following the signing of the Indo-Sri Lanka Agreement to Establish Peace and Normalcy in Sri Lanka (also referred to as the Indo-Sri Lanka Accord) the two countries had agreed that “Trincomalee or any other ports in Sri Lanka will not be made available for military use by any country in a manner prejudicial to India's interests.”

Even so, since the agreement does not define “India’s interests”, Colombo can classify the Chinese submarine’s visit as a routine matter.

Explaining the PLA(N) submarine’s visit, Sri Lanka said: “This is nothing unusual. Since 2010, 230 warships have called at Colombo port from various countries on goodwill visits and for refuelling and crew refreshment.”

New Delhi has demonstrated restraint, conveying its displeasure to Colombo only privately. However, New Delhi policymakers say Sri Lanka would cross an Indian red lines if it permitted a PLA(N) nuclear submarine to visit Sri Lanka.

“Conventional submarines legitimately visit foreign ports for restocking, and for rest and recreation of crews. But a visit by a nuclear submarine requires an extraordinarily close political relationship. Only very close friends allows a nuclear submarine to visit its ports,” says a high-ranking defence ministry official.

A second Indian red line would be a PLA(N) visit to Trincomalee. With its superb deep-water harbour and its proximity to India, this port is especially sensitive for New Delhi. That is why Trincomalee was cited in the 1987 agreement.

Besides, Trincomalee is off the international shipping routes, being located in northeastern Sri Lanka. “Regular shipping does not go past Trincomalee; a visit to that port would indicate a special interest”, says the MoD official.

Colombo’s deference to Beijing is believed to stem from a two-fold interest. The first is to play India off against China, in the manner of many small states. Second, Beijing deploys financial resources to Sri Lanka that are irresistible to Colombo.

Indian aid to Sri Lanka has also been rising. From Rs 15-25 crore a decade ago, the allocation for Sri Lanka has jumped to Rs 500 crore in the current budget, almost as much as the Rs 676 crore allocated to Afghanistan.

Over the last five years, Indian aid to Sri Lanka has risen steadily --- Rs 69 crore, 91 crore, 182 crore, 248 crore and Rs 410 crore respectively.

Even so, this is dwarfed by China’s investments in Sri Lanka, which are nudging $5 billion over the last decade, with another $2.1 billion committed as loans. Furthermore, Beijing’s self-serving principle of “non-interference in internal affairs” is welcomed by Colombo, while New Delhi has voted in the UN against Sri Lanka’s human rights record during the closing period of the war against the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

It's SL which is new thorn after porkistan in India's flesh. Aid to SL should be shut off rather than increased. It's becoming progressively hostile to India's security. Rajapakse family is on collision course with India.

Anonymous said...

So, there are two red lines? The concept of red line is you cross it, it's over. I fail to understand how there can be another red line.

Maybe we even have a third red line, this would be a PLAN nuke-sub docking in vizag, and a fourth for docking in Bombay.

Please don't mind the sarcasm, but here is a reason why many around the globe feel that they could get a good bargain by being pushy with Indians.

Anonymous said...

India does not like Pakistan talking to Hurriyatnetc. It should apply same principles to Sri Lanka. Only the. Will ties improve

Anonymous said...

These incidents are common & no situation of red lines arrives here. Chinese subs have already visited & visits Maldives and Seychelles. India can also send its subs to Japan or Taiwan provided they allow us. Its totally on the countries to allow the subs or not. The submarines docked are SSK's & not SSBN's which can be used to launch SLBM to target Delhi. To attack India chinese subs have capabilities to launch missiles from South China sea rather than risking themselves coming nearer to Indian shores. Infact no country sends or allows SSBN's to dock in other countries. Yes chances remain of intelligence gathering, strategic location survey by visiting ssk's but that would have been easily avoided if India took some careful decisions regarding Sri Lanka in the past. Fishermen trouble, Tamil Nadu govt. decisions have further aggravated these situations. Its an act by Sri Lanka to show that they are not dependent on India alone. Its high time to play diplomatic games properly rather than satisfying regional politics.

Anonymous said...

never... forgotten... epitome of srilankans... Junius Richard (J. R.) Jayewardene...