Friday, 14 October 2011

Myanmar largest Indian aid recipient after Afghanistan


Myanmar's president Thein Sein, on a groundbreaking visit to India, inspects an honour guard at Rashtrapati Bhavan (India's presidential palace) on Friday


by Ajai Shukla
Business Standard, 15th Oct 11

China’s smaller neighbours have long been wary of the imposing proximity of the Middle Kingdom. In 1946, when Vietnamese resistance leaders considered Chinese help in throwing off the French colonial yoke, Ho Chi Minh believed China was the greater threat. Dismissing the suggestion, the canny Vietnamese leader famously declared, “The last time the Chinese came (to Vietnam), they stayed a thousand years… I prefer to sniff French dung for another five years than to eat Chinese dung for the rest of my life.”

Myanmar’s president, Thein Sein, currently on a groundbreaking visit to India, is hardly immune to such fears. With his authoritarian regime driven by a global deep-freeze into Beijing’s sweaty embrace, the growing Chinese presence in Myanmar, looms uncomfortably large especially in the northern region that borders China’s Yunnan province. Myanmar’s decision-makers in their purpose-built capital, Naypyidaw, have begun balancing that unequal relationship. After a year of bold internal liberal reforms, Thein Sein is reaching out to the international mainstream beyond ASEAN. His springboard is New Delhi, which maintained relations with Myanmar in the face of international pressure, including criticism from Barack Obama in a speech to India’s parliament last November.

India’s forbearance has been vindicated. Over the last year, Myanmar’s civilian (but military-controlled) government has liberalised the media, eased controls over the internet, and begun releasing political prisoners. On Tuesday, a government-appointed human rights body --- a novel concept in Myanmar --- publicly called for the release of “prisoners of conscience”. In a move towards reconciliation, dialogue has begun with the face of democracy in Myanmar, Aung San Suu Kyi.

All this increases India’s comfort in hosting President Thein Sein; the joint statement issued after his meeting with India’s prime minister today welcomed Myanmar’s “progress in moving towards an open and democratic framework.” Also gratifying to India would be Myanmar’s decision last month (in response to domestic opposition) to suspend work on a $3.6 billion hydroelectric dam that was to supply power to China. Beijing insists that the differences will be settled, but this is a jolt to China’s ambitious infrastructure ambitions in Myanmar, including a corridor of roads, railways and pipelines linking Yunnan, in China, to Kyauk Phyu port in the Bay of Bengal.

India, meanwhile, is stepping up its role in building Myanmar’s infrastructure. During talks in New Delhi today, India granted Myanmar more than $800 million worth of lines of credit for infrastructure projects, including “railways, transport, power transmission lines, oil refinery, OFC link, etc.” A major Indian thrust is emerging in the development of Myanmar’s agriculture sector, including irrigation projects. Myanmar is emerging as the biggest recipient of Indian development aid after Afghanistan, where India has committed $2 billion.

This is a positive new direction to New Delhi’s engagement with Naypyidaw, which has often been hamstrung by issues relating to insurgencies in India’s northeast. Four Indian states --- Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur and Mizoram --- share a 1,643-kilometre land border with Myanmar’s Kachin and Chin states and Sagaing division. After their independence, India and Burma (“Myanmar” came into usage only in 1989) agreed to continue the British tradition of allowing border tribes to move and trade freely within a 40-kilometre belt on either side of the border. But the Naga insurgency ended that; with Naga militants transiting through Burma to and from training camps in China’s Yunnan province, New Delhi unilaterally imposed a permit system in 1968.

In 1994, as relations warmed after a quarter century of chill, New Delhi and Yangon signed the Indo-Myanmar Border Trade Agreement. This allowed for a Land Customs Station (LCS) at Moreh, in Manipur, which permits three forms of trade. Residents of the 40-kilometre border belt can barter locally produced goods worth up to US $1,000, with a simplified documentation system. Secondly, barter trade is permitted in 22 items up to a value of $20,000, provided the traders have an Importer Exporter Certificate (IEC) from the DGFT. Thirdly, any Indian trader can export goods to Myanmar through LCS, Moreh as regular export in accordance with the Foreign Trade Policy.

Today both countries agreed to expand that commerce. Another LCS will be established between the two countries. A “Trade and Investment Forum”, incorporating businessmen from both countries, will “expand the basket of goods under border trade, [and arrange the] visit of an Indian banking delegation to Myanmar to facilitate better trade and payment arrangements, etc.”

As Myanmar opens up to India, New Delhi’s immediate challenge is to win over politically alienated factions in its own northeastern states, which threaten to play spoiler in physically connecting India with Myanmar. Access to the Moreh LCS in Manipur is controlled by a multitude of Kuki and Naga tribal factions, with National Highway 39 --- running through Nagaland and Manipur --- blockaded for months at a stretch. In the circumstances, ambitious Indo-Myanmar projects like the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Project, which seeks to connect Myanmar’s Sittwe Port with India’s northeastern states like Mizoram, will remain hostage to internal conflicts within India.

President Thein Sein, who began his three-day state visit to India on Wednesday with homage at Buddhist shrines in Sarnath, Kushinagar and Gaya, is accompanied by practically his entire cabinet and the Chief of General Staff in the Ministry of Defence. He returns to Myanmar tomorrow after a morning visit to the Indian Agricultural Research Institute.

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

vietnam... myamnar... have given us the space... when will we create our own space.. of our own making... this we got on a platter... by their nessacity... when will we stop... eatoing out of... hands... as we have done for the past... eight centuries... when will be.,. The Birth of... The True... Republic... becessiated by the... true will of the people..

joydeep ghosh said...

@ajai sir

India has been playing a careful game in Burma. on one hand despite international pressure it provided finance and military aid to the military ruled country. On the other hand it kept the pressure on them to release pro democracy campaigners and improve human rights.

Another aspect of Indias game in Burma relates to the help it provides to Karen/Kachin rebels since long. But it has not paid dividends as these rebels have been the main sponsor and provider for insurgents in NE India.

India needs to decide with whom it will play ball. Despite knowing each and every single rebel hideut in Burma India has not been able to eliminate them. The Burmese have always made fake sounds about taking action against these NE rebels whenever there is a official visit.

India needs to arm twist Burma to help it curtail these rebels by dangling a carrot of money, weapons, infrastructure. While doing this India can also nudge it to clear its doubt over Chinese presence in Burma that it should not impede Indias efforts of using its soft power that will eventually be beneficial for India and Burma both.

Untill that happens all we can do is to sit on the sidelines and watch.

Thanks

Joydeep Ghosh

Mr. Ra said...

"In 1946, when Vietnamese resistance leaders considered Chinese help in throwing off the French colonial yoke, Ho Chi Minh believed China was the greater threat. Dismissing the suggestion, the canny Vietnamese leader famously declared, “The last time the Chinese came (to Vietnam), they stayed a thousand years… I prefer to sniff French dung for another five years than to eat Chinese dung for the rest of my life.”"

What a historical dialogue it is going to be...

Anonymous said...

An interesting article whats your take on this http://idrw.org/?p=4649 saw it in the newspaper yesterday?? Are we anti national by default???

Anonymouse said...

800 million is second largest? What about 1 billion for Bangladesh?

AK said...

Well, I hope at the end of all this NE states will get their due share of development. How long will the Indian dhotis keep the state held back for the fear of China.

Anonymous said...

Sir can u please tell us the truth about "Coco islands" which is suspected to be leased to china. If so why is our government doing nothing, as the relation with those countries are now on a rise.

Arun

P.K.Chaudhuri said...

India must further strengthen the improving relationship not only with Myanmar but also with Thailand and Vietnam. This will help all the countries of these region to counter possible Chinese aggression in future. India must expedite the construction of a Express Highway connecting NE India with commercial centres of Myanmar. Railway system is India's strength. Regular railway service must be established between the two countries. This will also trigger growth in poor NE India. The two countries must start a Barge service between their ports to boost trade.
India must have a stronger military relation with Myanmar. Let us make up the lost years. India must provide more training facilities to the military of Myanmar. Myanmar expressed interest in the ALH Dhruv / Rudra helicopters earlier. The same must be provided immediately. This will help better evaluation of the performance of the helicopters. India must jointly develop military hardwares with countries like Myanmar, Thailand, Vietnam etc.
India along with above mentioned countries must develop an military alliance to counter external aggression.

joydeep ghosh said...

@ Ajai sir & for everybne else

a good link

http://intellibriefs.blogspot.com/2011/10/where-china-meets-india-burma-and-new.html

it will amply define reasons why India needs to get its act straight real fast in Burma

Thanks

Joydeep Ghosh

Chemotherapy said...

French colonial yoke, Ho Chi Minh believed China was the greater threat. Dismissing the suggestion, the canny Vietnamese leader famously declared, “The last time the Chinese came (to Vietnam), they ...